Industry Trends

NPO vs CPO optical interconnects inside an AI data center
18 min read

NPO vs CPO in AI Data Centers: How Optical Interconnects Are Reshaping the Optical Module Supply Chain

AI data centers are pushing optical connectivity away from the front panel and closer to GPUs and switch ASICs. NPO, CPO, and 1.6T pluggable optics may coexist for years, but the shift is already redistributing value across silicon photonics, lasers, optical engines, testing, and the broader optical module supply chain.

Industry TrendsCOHRLITETSEMAEHRMTSIAAOI
Industry TrendsNPOCPOAI OpticsOptical InterconnectsAI Scale-UpSilicon Photonics1.6T Optical TransceiversOptical Module Supply ChainCoherentLumentumMACOMSoitecTower SemiconductorAehr Test SystemsAAOIAI Data CentersPhotonics-SOI
Broadcom $115B AI forecast reshaping the Nvidia, HBM, networking and optical AI infrastructure trade
12 min read

Broadcom’s $115B AI Forecast Changes the Nvidia, HBM and Networking Trade

Broadcom’s custom accelerators are moving into gigawatt-scale deployments. The bigger investment question is what happens to the AI infrastructure value pool when compute is no longer built around GPUs alone.

Industry TrendsAVGONVDAMRVLGOOGLMETA
Industry TrendsBroadcomAVGOCustom AI ChipsCustom AcceleratorsAI ASICGoogle TPUOpenAIMeta MTIAAnthropicNvidiaNVDAHBMHBM3EHBM4AI NetworkingOptical InterconnectEMLCW LaserInPCPOMarvellMRVLAI InfrastructureAI Factory
HBM stack and AI memory pricing chart illustrating tight HBM demand and the memory trade's sideways range
13 min read

HBM Demand Is Still Strong. What Could Restart the Memory Trade?

Memory stocks have bounced from the selloff and settled into a range. The next move may depend less on another headline that AI demand is strong, and more on whether the market can push its earnings assumptions several years further out.

Industry TrendsMUSNDK005930.KSSKHYNVDA
Industry TrendsHBMHBM4HBM4EDRAMNANDAI MemoryMemory StocksSK HynixSamsung ElectronicsMicron TechnologySandiskCXMTHBM ShortageEnterprise SSD
NVIDIA open AI ecosystem with GPU, cloud infrastructure and connected model network
NVIDIA's open-model bet is designed to expand the computing market around AI.
11 min read

Why Jensen Huang Is Betting on Open AI Models: How AI Value Could Shift Beyond Models

NVIDIA's support for open-weight AI is best understood as an infrastructure strategy. If models become easier to access, the scarce profit pools may move toward compute, data and applications.

Industry TrendsNVDAMSFTMETAAMZNGOOGLBABA
Industry TrendsNVIDIA open AI modelsOpen weight AI modelsAI business modelAI InfrastructureOpenAIMeta LlamaCloud Computing
CXMT DRAM chip with Samsung, Micron and SK hynix shown as global competitors
CXMT is now large enough to reshape competition in mainstream DRAM, even before it reaches the HBM profit pool.
16 min read

How CXMT Is Reshaping the Global DRAM Market

CXMT has proven it can manufacture mainstream DRAM at scale and enter China’s server supply chain. What remains unproven is whether it can match Samsung, Micron and SK hynix on yield, cost per bit and profitability through a full memory cycle.

Industry Trends688825.SS005930.KSMUSKHYSNDKWDC
Industry TrendsCXMTDRAMDDR5LPDDRHBMChina SemiconductorsSamsung ElectronicsMicron TechnologySK HynixSanDiskWestern Digital
Dark AI data center and semiconductor image with the title How to Read the AI Cycle overlaid.
AI-generated editorial cover image for VIUS Investing.
8 min read

How to Read the AI Cycle: CapEx, Supply Bottlenecks, and the Semiconductor Trade

AI infrastructure spending is still expanding, but the semiconductor equity trade is becoming more fragile. The next phase depends on CapEx, supply bottlenecks, usage, pricing, and earnings revisions.

Industry TrendsNVDATSMMUAVGOAMDMSFTAMZNGOOGLMETA
Industry TrendsAI InfrastructureAI CapexSemiconductorsData CenterCloud ComputingNVIDIATSMCHBMAdvanced PackagingMicrosoftAmazonAlphabetOpenRouterMorgan Stanley
Green optical networking image used as the original CPO article cover.
16 min read

CPO Isn’t Dead. The Timeline Is.

After the CPO Selloff: The Real Story Is Not the Death of Optical Stocks, but a Repricing of AI Infrastructure’s Transition Layer

Industry Trends
Industry TrendsCPOoptical networkingAI infrastructuredata centers